Breast cancer
What changes breast cancer odds
What changes breast cancer odds
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Where you sit
0 of 13 answered
Answer the 13 factors above to see which ones raise your own risk, which sit at the reference, and which the studies have no number for.
Relative risk versus each factor’s reference group; above the line is lower risk, below it higher.
Sources (12)Myers et al., JAMA 2015 · Collaborative Group on Hormonal Factors in Breast Cancer, Lancet 2001 · Collaborative Group on Hormonal Factors in Breast Cancer, Lancet 2019 and 9 moreShow allHide
- [1]N. F. Boyd et al. Mammographic density and the risk and detection of breast cancer. N Engl J Med, 356(3):227-36, 2007. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa062790 Evidence: Moderate
- [2]Collaborative Group on Hormonal Factors in Breast Cancer. Familial breast cancer: collaborative reanalysis of individual data from 52 epidemiological studies including 58,209 women with breast cancer and 101,986 women without the disease. Lancet, 358(9291):1389-99, 2001. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(01)06524-2 Evidence: High
- [3]Collaborative Group on Hormonal Factors in Breast Cancer. Type and timing of menopausal hormone therapy and breast cancer risk: individual participant meta-analysis of the worldwide epidemiological evidence. Lancet, 394(10204):1159-1168, 2019. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(19)31709-X Evidence: High
- [4]N. Hamajima et al. Alcohol, tobacco and breast cancer--collaborative reanalysis of individual data from 53 epidemiological studies, including 58,515 women with breast cancer and 95,067 women without the disease. Br J Cancer, 87(11):1234-45, 2002. doi:10.1038/sj.bjc.6600596 Evidence: High
- [5]P. A. van den Brandt et al. Pooled analysis of prospective cohort studies on height, weight, and breast cancer risk. Am J Epidemiol, 152(6):514-27, 2000. doi:10.1093/aje/152.6.514 Evidence: High
- [6]Collaborative Group on Hormonal Factors in Breast Cancer. Breast cancer and hormonal contraceptives: collaborative reanalysis of individual data on 53 297 women with breast cancer and 100 239 women without breast cancer from 54 epidemiological studies. Lancet, 347(9017):1713-27, 1996. doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(96)90806-5 Evidence: High
- [7]E. R. Myers et al. Benefits and Harms of Breast Cancer Screening: A Systematic Review. JAMA, 314(15):1615-34, 2015. doi:10.1001/jama.2015.13183 Evidence: High
- [8]Collaborative Group on Hormonal Factors in Breast Cancer. Menarche, menopause, and breast cancer risk: individual participant meta-analysis, including 118 964 women with breast cancer from 117 epidemiological studies. Lancet Oncol, 13(11):1141-51, 2012. doi:10.1016/S1470-2045(12)70425-4 Evidence: High
- [9]Collaborative Group on Hormonal Factors in Breast Cancer. Breast cancer and breastfeeding: collaborative reanalysis of individual data from 47 epidemiological studies in 30 countries, including 50302 women with breast cancer and 96973 women without the disease. Lancet, 360(9328):187-95, 2002. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(02)09454-0 Evidence: High
- [10]M. M. Gaudet et al. Active smoking and breast cancer risk: original cohort data and meta-analysis. J Natl Cancer Inst, 105(8):515-25, 2013. doi:10.1093/jnci/djt023 Evidence: Moderate
- [11]S. C. Moore et al. Association of Leisure-Time Physical Activity With Risk of 26 Types of Cancer in 1.44 Million Adults. JAMA Intern Med, 176(6):816-25, 2016. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2016.1548 Evidence: High
- [12]M. S. Farvid et al. Fiber consumption and breast cancer incidence: a systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective studies. Cancer, 126(13):3061-75, 2020. doi:10.1002/cncr.32816 Evidence: Moderate
Every factor, one by one
One quick question each. The charts above follow your answers, and so does every other What Matters page that asks the same question.
#1Breast density[1]+370%
One of the strongest known risk factors, and one almost nobody knows about themselves.
If you have had a mammogram, what did the report say about breast density?
Not answered yet. Tap an option to save your answer. This answer does not change your life estimate.
#2Breast cancer in the family[2]+193%
The strongest factor on this chart.
Any strong family history of cancer?
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#3Menopausal hormone therapy[3]+108%
Among 108,647 postmenopausal women who developed breast cancer, current users of oestrogen-plus-progestogen therapy for 5 to 14 years carried roughly double the risk of never users, and oestrogen-only users about a third more; the excess was definite even in the first four years and faded slowly over a decade after stopping.
Have you taken menopausal hormone therapy (HRT/MHT) for 5 years or more?
Not answered yet. Tap an option to save your answer. This answer does not change your life estimate.
#4Alcohol[4]+46%
Across 53 studies and 58,515 women with breast cancer, risk rose 7.1% for every extra 10 g a day of alcohol (about one drink), the same slope in smokers and non-smokers alike.
How much alcohol do you drink?
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#5Body weight (after menopause)[5]+26%
In 337,819 women pooled from seven cohorts, postmenopausal women with a BMI over 28 had 26% more breast cancer than the leanest women, a relationship that levelled off above BMI 28 rather than climbing further, so “very” and “severely” overweight share one number.
How would you describe your weight?
Same number, 2 answers: The pooled analysis found risk did not increase further above a BMI of 28, so both heavier bands share the BMI 28+ figure.
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#6Oral contraceptives[6]+24%
In 53,297 women with breast cancer and 100,239 controls from 54 studies, current pill users carried 24% more breast cancer than never users; the excess faded the longer ago they stopped and was gone entirely ten or more years after stopping.
Are you currently using, or have you recently used, combined oral contraceptives (the pill)?
Not answered yet. Tap an option to save your answer. This answer does not change your life estimate.
#7Skipping screening[7]−20%
The one lever here that is about dying of breast cancer, not getting it.
Are you up to date on the health screenings recommended for your age (like cancer screening)?
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#8Age periods started[8]≈+10%
Across 117 studies and 118,964 women with breast cancer, each year younger at first period went with 5.0% more breast cancer; the slope is a continuous one, applied here as roughly two years either side of the average of 12 to 13.
About how old were you when your periods started?
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#9Number of births[9]≈−13%
The same 47-study reanalysis behind the breastfeeding pill: each birth went with 7.0% less breast cancer on its own, separate from any time spent breastfeeding.
How many children have you given birth to?
Not answered yet. Tap an option to save your answer. This answer does not change your life estimate.
#10Breastfeeding[9]≈−12%
In 50,302 women with breast cancer and 96,973 controls across 30 countries, every 12 months of breastfeeding went with 4.3% less breast cancer, on top of childbirth’s own protection.
If you have had children, how long did you breastfeed in total?
Not answered yet. Tap an option to save your answer. This answer does not change your life estimate.
#11Smoking[10]+12%
A meta-analysis of the CPS-II cohort with 14 other studies found current smokers developed 12% more breast cancer than never smokers and former smokers 9% more, weaker than smoking’s effect on most other cancers.
Do you smoke?
Same number, 2 answers: The meta-analysis compared current smokers with never smokers and did not split by cigarettes a day.
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#12Physical inactivity[11]−10%
In 1.44 million adults, the most active tenth developed 10% less breast cancer than the least active tenth.
How many days a week do you get 30+ minutes of exercise?
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#13Little fibre[12]−8%
Across 17 prospective cohorts, 2 nested case-control studies and 1 trial, women eating the most fibre had 8% less breast cancer than those eating the least, a modest link but a precise one, with little disagreement between studies.
How much fiber do you eat (whole grains, beans, fruit, vegetables)?
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Cancer, site by site
Share of cancer deaths by site, SEER/NCHS (National Cancer Institute SEER Program, National Cancer Institute Evidence: Not graded (statistics)). Most sites have their own pills chart now — tap one — the smallest are still listed with their share alone.
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