Colorectal cancer

How much each habit raises, or lowers, the odds of dying of bowel cancer. Tap a pill, answer yours. Green pills lower the risk, red raise it; a star marks an estimate, not a published number. All causes ›

What changes bowel cancer death risk

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What changes bowel cancer death risk

75%50%25%0%25%50%75%100%← more risk · % change in risk · less risk →Factors, ranked by biggest effect325%#168%#244%#335%#433%#526%#625%#7≈24%#822%#918%#1017%#1116%#1210%#13Everythingelseno single number

Scroll sideways to see every factor →

Tap a pill to answer yours.

Where you sit

0 of 13 answered

Answer the 13 factors above to see which ones raise your own risk, which sit at the reference, and which the studies have no number for.

Relative risk versus each factor’s reference group; above the line is lower risk, below it higher.

Sources (12)Nishihara et al., N Engl J Med 2013 · Bagnardi et al., Br J Cancer 2015 · Ma Y, Yang Y, Wang F, et al., PLoS One 2013 and 9 moreShow all
  1. [1]L. E. Johns and R. S. Houlston. A systematic review and meta-analysis of familial colorectal cancer risk. Am J Gastroenterol, 96(10):2992-3003, 2001. doi:10.1111/j.1572-0241.2001.04677.x Evidence: High
  2. [2]R. Nishihara et al. Long-term colorectal-cancer incidence and mortality after lower endoscopy. N Engl J Med, 369(12):1095-105, 2013. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1301969 Evidence: Moderate
  3. [3]V. Bagnardi et al. Alcohol consumption and site-specific cancer risk: a comprehensive dose-response meta-analysis. Br J Cancer, 112(3):580-93, 2015. doi:10.1038/bjc.2014.579 Evidence: High
  4. [4]P. M. Rothwell et al. Long-term effect of aspirin on colorectal cancer incidence and mortality: 20-year follow-up of five randomised trials. Lancet, 376(9754):1741-50, 2010. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(10)61543-7 Evidence: Moderate
  5. [5]Y. Ma et al. Obesity and risk of colorectal cancer: a systematic review of prospective studies. PLoS One, 8(1):e53916, 2013. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0053916 Evidence: High
  6. [6]S. C. Larsson, N. Orsini, and A. Wolk. Diabetes mellitus and risk of colorectal cancer: a meta-analysis. J Natl Cancer Inst, 97(22):1679-87, 2005. doi:10.1093/jnci/dji375 Evidence: High
  7. [7]E. Botteri et al. Smoking and colorectal cancer: a meta-analysis. JAMA, 300(23):2765-78, 2008. doi:10.1001/jama.2008.839 Evidence: High
  8. [8]N. Keum et al. Calcium intake and colorectal cancer risk: dose-response meta-analysis of prospective observational studies. Int J Cancer, 135(8):1940-8, 2014. doi:10.1002/ijc.28840 Evidence: High
  9. [9]M. J. Orlich et al. Vegetarian dietary patterns and the risk of colorectal cancers. JAMA Intern Med, 175(5):767-76, 2015. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2015.59 Evidence: Low
  10. [10]D. S. Chan et al. Red and processed meat and colorectal cancer incidence: meta-analysis of prospective studies. PLoS One, 6(6):e20456, 2011. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0020456 Evidence: High
  11. [11]S. C. Moore et al. Association of Leisure-Time Physical Activity With Risk of 26 Types of Cancer in 1.44 Million Adults. JAMA Intern Med, 176(6):816-25, 2016. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2016.1548 Evidence: High
  12. [12]D. Aune et al. Dietary fibre, whole grains, and risk of colorectal cancer: systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of prospective studies. BMJ, 343:d6617, 2011. doi:10.1136/bmj.d6617 Evidence: High

Every factor, one by one

One quick question each. The charts above follow your answers, and so does every other What Matters page that asks the same question.

  1. #1Family history[1]+325%

    Across 27 studies, having one first-degree relative with colorectal cancer roughly doubled the risk, and two or more relatives raised it over fourfold.

    Any strong family history of cancer?

    reference
    +125%
    +325%

    Not answered yet. Tap an option to save your answer. Saved to your quiz answers, so the quiz shows it too.

  2. #2Skipping screening[2]−68%

    The one lever that works after the cancer has started.

    Are you up to date on colorectal screening (recommended from 45)?

    −68%
    reference
    no number

    Not answered yet. Tap an option to save your answer. Saved to your quiz answers, so the quiz shows it too.

  3. #3Alcohol[3]+44%

    Across 66 studies, moderate drinking (up to about four drinks a day) went with 17% more colorectal cancer and heavy drinking with 44% more, while light drinking showed no association.

    How much alcohol do you drink?

    reference
    ≈+4%
    +17%
    +44%

    Not answered yet. Tap an option to save your answer. Saved to your quiz answers, so the quiz shows it too.

  4. #4Regular aspirin or NSAID use[4]−35%

    The strongest single number on this page.

    Do you take aspirin or another NSAID (ibuprofen, naproxen) most days, for a year or more?

    reference
    −35%
    no number

    Not answered yet. Tap an option to save your answer. This answer does not change your life estimate.

  5. #5Body weight[5]+33%

    Across 41 prospective studies and nine million people, obesity went with a third more colorectal cancer than normal weight, and a large waist with 46% more.

    How would you describe your weight?

    +33%
    +33%
    ≈+17%
    reference
    ≈+5%

    Same number, 2 answers: The meta-analysis pooled everyone with a BMI of 30 or over as one obese group.

    Not answered yet. Tap an option to save your answer. Saved to your quiz answers, so the quiz shows it too.

  6. #6Diabetes[6]+26%

    Across 15 studies and 2.6 million people, diabetes went with 26% more deaths from colorectal cancer (30% more cases).

    What’s your blood sugar like?

    reference
    ≈+8%
    +26%
    +26%
    no number

    Same number, 2 answers: The meta-analysis compared diabetes with no diabetes; it did not split by how well it was controlled.

    Not answered yet. Tap an option to save your answer. Saved to your quiz answers, so the quiz shows it too.

  7. #7Smoking[7]+25%

    Across 17 cohorts, people who had ever smoked died of colorectal cancer 25% more often than never smokers, the excess appearing only after about 30 years of smoking and larger for the rectum.

    Do you smoke?

    reference
    +25%
    +25%
    +25%

    Same number, 3 answers: The meta-analysis pooled ever smokers against never smokers; it did not split current from former or by cigarettes a day.

    Not answered yet. Tap an option to save your answer. Saved to your quiz answers, so the quiz shows it too.

  8. #8Calcium intake[8]≈−24%

    Pooling 15 prospective studies and 12,305 cases, each extra 300mg of calcium a day (roughly a cup of milk or a serving of fortified plant milk) went with about 8% less colorectal cancer, holding whether the calcium came from food or a supplement, with no sign the benefit tapers off above 1,000mg/day.

    How much calcium do you typically get a day (dairy, fortified foods, or a supplement)?

    reference
    ≈−13%
    ≈−24%

    Not answered yet. Tap an option to save your answer. This answer does not change your life estimate.

  9. #9Eating pattern[9]−22%

    In 77,659 Adventist Health Study 2 participants followed 7.3 years, vegetarians overall developed 22% fewer colorectal cancers than non-vegetarians; pescovegetarians (plants plus fish, no meat) fared best at 43% fewer, lacto-ovo vegetarians 18% fewer, and vegans 16% fewer, though the vegan and semivegetarian figures were not statistically significant on their own.

    Which eating pattern best describes you?

    reference
    ≈−8%
    −22%
    ≈−16%
    ≈+8%

    Not answered yet. Tap an option to save your answer. Saved to your quiz answers, so the quiz shows it too.

  10. #10Processed meat[10]+18%

    Every 50 g a day of processed meat (two rashers of bacon, one hot dog) went with 18% more colorectal cancer across the prospective studies, the finding behind the WHO’s 2015 classification.

    How often do you eat processed meat (bacon, deli, sausage)?

    +18%
    ≈+7%
    reference

    Not answered yet. Tap an option to save your answer. Saved to your quiz answers, so the quiz shows it too.

  11. #11Unprocessed red meat[10]+17%

    The same prospective studies behind the processed-meat pill found fresh red meat (beef, pork, lamb) carries its own, smaller dose: 17% more colorectal cancer per 100 g a day.

    How often do you eat red meat?

    +17%
    ≈+7%
    reference

    Not answered yet. Tap an option to save your answer. Saved to your quiz answers, so the quiz shows it too.

  12. #12Physical inactivity[11]−16%

    In 1.44 million adults, the most active tenth developed 16% less colon cancer and 13% less rectal cancer than the least active tenth.

    How many days a week do you get 30+ minutes of exercise?

    reference
    ≈−5%
    ≈−11%
    −16%

    Not answered yet. Tap an option to save your answer. Saved to your quiz answers, so the quiz shows it too.

  13. #13Low fibre[12]−10%

    Across 25 prospective studies, every 10 g a day of fibre went with 10% less colorectal cancer, cereal fibre and whole grains carrying the effect.

    How much fiber do you eat daily (beans, whole grains, vegetables, fruit)?

    reference
    ≈−5%
    −10%

    Not answered yet. Tap an option to save your answer. Saved to your quiz answers, so the quiz shows it too.

Cancer, site by site

Share of cancer deaths by site, SEER/NCHS (National Cancer Institute SEER Program, National Cancer Institute Evidence: Not graded (statistics)). Most sites have their own pills chart now — tap one — the smallest are still listed with their share alone.

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